|
|
|
|
Gale
Cumulonimbus Capillatus
   
Desconnectat
Gènere: 
Missatges: 9576
|
Vaya pinta que está tomando esa perturbación 
(c) Dundee Satellite Receiving Station.
[annex esborrat per l'administrador]
|
|
|
|
|
En línia
|
|
|
|
Sinner
CATmeteo Col.laborador
Línia de turbonada

Desconnectat
Gènere: 
Missatges: 30849
|
Taremos alerta......es una zona interesante ultimamente
|
|
|
|
|
En línia
|
Viladecans 23msnm Baix llobregat  
|
|
|
Gale
Cumulonimbus Capillatus
   
Desconnectat
Gènere: 
Missatges: 9576
|
Animación de la perturbación, sin desperdicio...
Vamos a consultar los campos de cizalladura del viento, a ver cómo andan, aunque a priori viendo la imagen de vapor de agua, esa perturbación está ubicada en una zona de baja cizalladura.
MODIFICO: los mapas indican una alta cizalladura...
|
|
|
|
|
En línia
|
|
|
|
Gale
Cumulonimbus Capillatus
   
Desconnectat
Gènere: 
Missatges: 9576
|
Ojo al dato en el seguimiento que estamos haciendo en Caza. El forero Vigorro ha puesto allí una discusión sobre la perturbación, presumiblemente del NHC, indicando que la perturbación se estaba haciendo tormenta tropical, y es que las imágenes no engañan 
http://www.cazatormentas.net/foro/index.php?topic=5754.msg92797#msg92797
|
|
|
|
|
En línia
|
|
|
|
Gale
Cumulonimbus Capillatus
   
Desconnectat
Gènere: 
Missatges: 9576
|
Aquí lo tenemos, en forma de aviso especial 
000 WONT41 KNHC 301605 DSAAT SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2005
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC HAS DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL STORM ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. A SPECIAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM ZETA IS IN PREPARATION AND WILL BE ISSUED IN AN HOUR OR SO.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIADSAAT+shtml/301605.shtml?
Ya tenemos a ZETA, señores  |
|
|
|
|
|
En línia
|
|
|
|
Gale
Cumulonimbus Capillatus
   
Desconnectat
Gènere: 
Missatges: 9576
|
Primera discusión del NHC:
000 WTNT45 KNHC 301720 TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ZETA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL NOON EST FRI DEC 30 2005
AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...WHICH HAD ITS ORIGINS IN AN OLD FRONTAL TROUGH...BEGAN DEVELOPING ORGANIZED CONVECTION OVERNIGHT. WITH WELL-FORMED CONVECTIVE BANDS NEAR THE CENTER...WEAK ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT...AND TROPICAL DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS... ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED ON THE 27TH TROPICAL STORM OF 2005. THE INTIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE RULE- CONSTRAINED T2.5 CLASSIFICATIONS AND THE T3.5 DATA T NUMBERS. WITHIN 24 HOURS...WESTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SHARPLY OVER THE CYCLONE...SO ZETA PROBABLY HAS A SHORT LIFE AHEAD OF IT.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 305/7...AS ZETA IS MOVING AROUND A MID-LEVEL LOW TO ITS SOUTHWEST. THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS THE WESTERLIES BEGIN TO IMPINGE ON THE CYCLONE WITHIN 12-24 HOURS. AFTER THAT...IF THE SYSTEM WEAKENS IN RESPONSE TO THE SHEAR...IT SHOULD TURN WESTWARD WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE MEDIUM AND SHALLOW BAM MODELS...AND IS SOMEWHAT SLOWER TO THE WEST THAN THE GFS GUIDANCE.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 30/1700Z 25.0N 36.9W 45 KT 12HR VT 31/0000Z 25.5N 37.6W 45 KT 24HR VT 31/1200Z 26.0N 38.5W 35 KT 36HR VT 01/0000Z 26.0N 40.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 01/1200Z 26.0N 42.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT5+shtml/301720.shtml
|
|
|
|
|
En línia
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|